Friday, December 30, 2011

投资组合 - 30/12/2011

CounterABPRatio30/12/2011
SunReit, 51760.8316.27%1.25
PBBank,1295F13.237.47%13.20
GAB, 325510.4223.61%13.46
BKAWAN, 189914.223.95%17.46
Maybank, 11557.9515.09%8.30
KLK, 244522.2812.84%22.70
CASH-20.74%-




1/1/11 ~ 30/12/11 回酬 = 7.21% (比较大市 -0.78%)

投资记录:

  • Share vs Cash: 70.26% vs 29.74%
  • Buy KLK @ 22.28
  • Buy GAB @ 22.28

Thursday, December 1, 2011

投资组合 - 30/11/2011

CounterABPRatio30/11/2011
SunReit, 51760.8317.32%1.17
PBBank,1295F13.238.04%12.50
GAB, 32559.6618.63%11.58
BKAWAN, 189914.224.31%16.74
Maybank, 11557.958.30%8.30
Vitrox,00971.385.81%0.880
CASH-29.74%-



1/1/11 ~ 30/11/11 回酬 = 4.23% (比较大市 -3.08%)

投资记录:

  • Share vs Cash: 70.26% vs 29.74%
  • Attended GAB AGM, 3 November 2011. Free beer!
  • Sold Vitrox at 0.935. Changed strategy to passive income play.
  • DIV SunReit Ex:15/11/2011; PD:01/12/2011
  • DIV GAB Ex:11/11/2011; PD:12/12/2011
  • Buy Maybank @ 8.18

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Trading Futures - FKLI - Day 9, Trade #15

Day 9, 29 November 2011, Trade #15

交易檢討:
1. 為什麼那個時間點進場: Based on Chart, estimate as down trend. World market up on Monday, but KLSE off on holiday. Today world market trend is up trend. Decided trade based on chart. Stop Buy at 1447.5
2. 出場的時間點是否洽當: Hit 1447.5, Stop Buy at 1447.50. Close as plan.
3. 交易的問題出在哪裡: Chart & market trend not match/ or not same direction.
4. 其他:-
5. Toward Practice: Follow strategy, stop loss!
6. Away Practice: -
7. Result: -5.5
8. 20111129-1023.jpg

One Good Trade? Yes, enter base on plan and stop accordingly to trend+plan!


REMINDER:
1. Contract Size:1
2. Preparation & Patience.
3. Don't over trade.
4. Don't judge, Follow! Use Chart to help.
5. Trade Count: 15 of 1000

Today lesson: Lesson, ending trading day to month end, should start monitor next month trade. Avoid trading when "Chart & Market" go different direction/trend.

Trading Futures - FKLI - Day 8, Trade #14

Day 8, 25 November 2011, Trade #14

交易檢討:
1. 為什麼那個時間點進場: Follow trend, Sell at 1434.0, Stop loss at 1439.0.
2. 出場的時間點是否洽當: High volume dropped till 1427.0, reset Stop Buy at 1431.50.Hit 1431.50, Stop Buy at 1432.0
3. 交易的問題出在哪裡: -
4. 其他:-
5. Toward Practice: Follow strategy & be discipline!
6. Away Practice: -
7. Result: +2

One Good Trade? Yes, enter base on plan and Stop accordingly to trend+plan!


REMINDER:
1. Contract Size:1
2. Preparation & Patience.
3. Don't over trade.
4. Don't judge, Follow! Use Chart to help.
5. Trade Count: 14 of 1000

Today lesson: Trade according to plan.

Wednesday, November 23, 2011

Trading Futures - FKLI - Day 7, Trade #13 - First trade base on Chart

Day 7, 23 November 2011, Trade #13

交易檢討:
1. 為什麼那個時間點進場: First time enter market based on Chart. Sell at 1416.5, down trend.
2. 出場的時間點是否洽當: Trend go down until 1410.50, rebounced. Set Stop Buy at 1413.5 to lock in profit.
3. 交易的問題出在哪裡: -
4. 其他:First trade base on Chart
5. Toward Practice: Follow strategy & be discipline!
6. Away Practice: -
7. Result: +3

One Good Trade? Yes, enter base on chart and Stop accordingly to trend+plan!


REMINDER:
1. Contract Size:1
2. Preparation & Patience.
3. Don't over trade.
4. Don't judge, Follow! Use Chart to help.
5. Trade Count: 13 of 1000

Today lesson: Focus and wait till signal show.

Thursday, November 10, 2011

Trading Futures - FKLI - Day 6, Trade #12 - First over-night contract

Day 6, 10 November 2011, Trade #12

交易檢討:
1. 為什麼那個時間點進場: Follow trend Sell at 1459.50. Target Stop loss at 1485.0
2. 出場的時間點是否洽當: Trend going downward until 1458.50 only, then changed direction. Out of sudden shoot up till 1463.0. Too late to Stop loss. Date 21/11/2011, big gap down(7pts). Open at 1437. Set Stop Buy set at 1428.0. Stop Buy trigger, Buy at 1428.50
3. 交易的問題出在哪裡: Should Stop loss at 3pts.
4. 其他:Wish to try over-night experience.
5. Toward Practice: Follow strategy & be discipline!
6. Away Practice: Don't over trade.
7. Result: +31

One Good Trade? Not, because does not STOP LOSS.


REMINDER:
1. Contract Size:1
2. Preparation & Patience.
3. Don't over trade.
4. Don't judge, Follow!
5. Trade Count: 12 of 1000

Today lesson: Start another One Good Trade (Forget about old trade, look for opportunity to entry trade)

Trading Futures - FKLI - Day 6

Day 6, 10 November 2011, Trade #10

交易檢討:
1. 為什麼那個時間點進場: High 1464.0, low 1453.0. Buy at 1462.5, follow trend upward.
2. 出場的時間點是否洽當: End up going up until high 1465.0. Close when trend changed direction downward. Sell when reach 2 pts.
3. 交易的問題出在哪裡:nil.
4. 其他:
5. Toward Practice: Trade accordingly to earn capability.
6. Away Practice:
7. Result: +2.0

One Good Trade? Yes, according to trend.


REMINDER:
1. Contract Size:1
2. Preparation & Patience.
3. Don't judge, Follow!
4. Trade Count: 10 of 1000

Today lesson: Trend according to trend, act fast!

**************************************************************

Day 6, 10 November 2011, Trade #11

交易檢討:
1. 為什麼那個時間點進場: High 1468.0, low 1453.0. Follow trend sell at 1466.0. Target 2 pts. Risk High at 1468.0, 2 pts.
2. 出場的時間點是否洽當:Going downward until 1462.5, bounced back to 1463.0. Buy as target 2pts reached.
3. 交易的問題出在哪裡:nil.
4. 其他:
5. Toward Practice: Trade accordingly to earn capability.
6. Away Practice:-
7. Result: +2.0

One Good Trade? Yes, according to trend.


REMINDER:
1. Contract Size:1
2. Preparation & Patience.
3. Don't judge, Follow!
4. Trade Count: 11 of 1000

Today lesson: Trend according to trend, act fast!

Trading Futures - FKLI - Day 5

Day 5, 09 November 2011, Trade #7

交易檢討:
1. 為什麼那個時間點進場: High 1493.5, Low 1463.5, direction going up. Queue and Sell at 1490.5. Risk 3 pts, target 2 pts. Then failed to match, change opinion to Buy at 1488.0, guessing bottom when trend is going downward.
2. 出場的時間點是否洽當: Stop loss at 1484.0.
3. 交易的問題出在哪裡:Does not follow trend.
4. 其他:
5. Toward Practice: Stop loss when wrongly judge.
6. Away Practice: When doubt should stop trade.
7. Result: -4.0

One Good Trade? Average, because did perform Stop loss.


REMINDER:
1. Contract Size:1
2. Preparation & Patience.
3. Don't judge, Follow!
4. Trade Count: 7 of 1000

Today lesson: When doubt stop trading!

**************************************************************

Day 5, 09 November 2011, Trade #8

交易檢討:
1. 為什麼那個時間點進場: High 1493.5, Low 1463.5, direction going up. Queue and buy at 1485.0. Risk bottom 2 pts, target 2 pts.
2. 出場的時間點是否洽當: Sold @ 1488.0 after can't break 4 pts and trend move down.
3. 交易的問題出在哪裡:nil.
4. 其他:Trade is independent. Earn or loss should not affect next trade.
5. Toward Practice: Trade accordingly to plan.
6. Away Practice: Need to forget about previous trade.
7. Result: +3.0

One Good Trade? Yes.


REMINDER:
1. Contract Size:1
2. Preparation & Patience.
3. Don't judge, Follow!
4. Trade Count: 8 of 1000

Today lesson: One Good Trade & One Good Trade & One Good Trade!

**************************************************************

Day 5, 09 November 2011, Trade #9

交易檢討:
1. 為什麼那個時間點進場: Direction going up. Buy at 1486.0. Target 2 pts.
2. 出場的時間點是否洽當: Correct trend but can't break through,stop loss at 1483.0
3. 交易的問題出在哪裡:nil.
4. 其他:
5. Toward Practice: Trade accordingly to plan.
6. Away Practice: Don't not over trade.
7. Result: -3.0

One Good Trade? Yes.


REMINDER:
1. Contract Size:1
2. Preparation & Patience.
3. Don't over trade.
4. Don't judge, Follow!
5. Trade Count: 9 of 1000

Today lesson: One Good Trade & One Good Trade & One Good Trade!

Friday, November 4, 2011

Trading Futures - FKLI - Day 4, Trade #6

Day 4, 04 November 2011, Trade #6

交易檢討:
1. 為什麼那個時間點進場: High 1472.5, Low 1463.5, direction going up. Queue and Sell at 1470.5. Risk 2 pts, target 2 pts.
2. 出場的時間點是否洽當: Target short period & 2-3 pts. Market open at 1471.0 and go down immediate after second half open. Reached 1468.5 in 3 mins. Queue Buy at 1468.5 matched.
3. 交易的問題出在哪裡:nil
4. 其他:
5. Toward Practice: Execute according to plan.
6. Away Practice: Don't doubt on decision.
7. Result: +2.0

One Good Trade? Yes. Close contract according to plan.


REMINDER:
1. Contract Size:1
2. Stop Loss Point:Half of my capable earning trend
3. Don't judge, Follow!
4. Trade Count: 6 of 1000

Today lesson: Don't doubt on decision!

Trading Futures - FKLI - Day 4, Trade #5

Day 4, 04 November 2011, Trade #5

交易檢討:
1. 為什麼那個時間點進場: High 1472.5, Low 1463.5, direction going up. Queue and Sell at 1468.5. Risk 3 pts, target 2 pts.
2. 出場的時間點是否洽當: Target short period & 2-3 pts. Up and down few time with 2.5 pts up. Queue Buy at 1466.5 targeted 2 pts.
3. 交易的問題出在哪裡:nil
4. 其他:
5. Toward Practice: Patience! Execute according to plan.
6. Away Practice: Don't doubt on decision.
7. Result: +2.0

One Good Trade? Yes. Close contract according to plan.


REMINDER:
1. Contract Size:1
2. Stop Loss Point:Half of my capable earning trend
3. Don't judge, Follow!
4. Trade Count: 5 of 1000

Today lesson: Don't doubt on decision!

Trading Futures - FKLI - Day 4, Trade #4

Day 4, 04 November 2011, Trade #4

交易檢討:
1. 為什麼那個時間點進場: High 1472.5, Low 1464.0, bounced back 1466.0 and reverse down. Queue and Buy at 1464.0 bottom. Target 2 pts up at 1466.0.
2. 出場的時間點是否洽當: Target short period & 2-3 pts. Reached 2 pts, sell.
3. 交易的問題出在哪裡:nil
4. 其他: Focus and work according to plan.
5. Toward Practice: Fast decision making! Execute according to plan.
6. Away Practice: Don't doubt on decision.
7. Result: +2.0

One Good Trade? Yes. Close contract according to plan.


REMINDER:
1. Contract Size:1
2. Stop Loss Point:Half of my capable earning trend
3. Don't judge, Follow!
4. Trade Count: 4 of 1000

Today lesson: Don't doubt on decision!

Thursday, November 3, 2011

Trading Futures - FKLI - Day 3

Day 3, 03 November 2011, Trade #3

交易檢討:
1. 為什麼那個時間點進場: High 1464.0, Low 1440.5, Buy 1444.5, bounced back.
2. 出場的時間點是否洽當: Target short period & 2-3 pts. Reached 2 pts, sell.
3. 交易的問題出在哪裡:nil
4. 其他: Focus and work according to plan.
5. Toward Practice: Fast decision making! Execute according to plan.
6. Away Practice: Busy with other work.
7. Result: +2.0

One Good Trade? Yes. Close contract according to plan.


REMINDER:
1. Contract Size:1
2. Stop Loss Point:Half of my capable earning trend
3. Don't judge, Follow!
4. Trade Count: 3 of 1000

Today lesson: Work within capability of earning range!

Wednesday, November 2, 2011

Trading Futures - FKLI - Day 2

Day 2, 02 November 2011, Trade #2

交易檢討 Format:
1. 為什麼那個時間點進場: High 1457.0, Sell 1456.0, Stop Loss 1461.0
2. 出場的時間點是否洽當: Reached low at 1451.5, bounced back to 1454.0, then Stock Trader Chart "hang" at 1454.0. 出場的時間點不洽當因为"hang" 了。 End result, reached Stop Loss 1461.0, loss 5.0 points.
3. 交易的問題出在哪裡:Stock Trader Chart "hang". Anyhow should Buy at 1453.0 because reached low then bounced up around 2 pts.
4. 其他: Focus and aware of surrounding issues.
5. Toward Practice: Feel like wish to change Stop Loss order, end result does not changed. Good! Cool down and take a break after contract closed, time to adjust!
6. Away Practice: Lack of Focus
7. Result: -5.0

One Good Trade? Yes. Close contract when trend against order.


REMINDER:
1. Contract Size:1
2. Stop Loss Point:Half of my capable earning trend
3. Don't judge, Follow!
4. Trade Count: 2 of 1000

Today lesson: Never predict, just follow!

Trading Futures - FKLI - Day 1

Day 1, 01 November 2011, Trade #1

Today is my first day trade FKLI, good start. Earned 8.5 points.

Trader 的「覆盤」,就是指交易結束後,每天必然要對當天所做過的交易檢討。 為什麼那個時間點進場、出場的時間點是否洽當,今天交易的問題出在哪裡‧‧‧等等。 「交易日誌」是必然要建立的,反思與檢討,是每天必要的功課,盡量做到「不貳過」,不在類似的盤勢下犯下同樣的錯誤。 more info: http://chongkuzhiru.blogspot.com/2011/11/blog-post_7001.html

交易檢討 Format:
1. 為什麼那個時間點進場: High 1480.0, Sell 1478.0, Stop Loss 1483.0
2. 出場的時間點是否洽當: Reached day low at 1467.0, bounced back to 1469.5, buy market @ 1469.5. 洽當因为目标points是10点, earned 8.5 points.
3. 交易的問題出在哪裡:Nil
4. 其他: Let the Profit Run. Second session Open low, so did the right decision letting the profit run from 1476.0 down to 1467.0. Realised profit immediately after few "TEST" & until its changed direction back to 1468.0.

REMINDER:
1. Contract Size:1
2. Stop Loss Point:Half of my capable earning trend
3. Don't judge, Follow!
4. Trade Count: 1 of 1000

Today lesson: Follow the simple step!

江恩的21條股票操作買賣守則

source: http://myblog.marbo.com.tw/boss1688/PostDate/201003

江恩的21條股票操作買賣守則:

1、每次進場買、賣,損失不應超過資金的十分之一。

2、永遠都設立停損點,減少買賣出錯時可能造成的損失。

3、永不過量買賣。

4、永不讓所持股位轉盈為虧。

5、永不逆勢而為。市場趨勢不明顯時,寧可在場外觀望。

6、有懷疑,即了結離場。進場時要堅決,猶豫不決時不要進場。

7、只在活躍的市場買賣。買賣清淡時不宜操作。

8、永不設定目標價位出進場,避免限價出進場,而只服從市場走勢。

9、如無適當理由、不將所持股平盤,可用止賺位保障所得利潤。

10、在市場連戰皆捷後,可將部分利潤提取,以備急時之需。

11、買股票切忌只望分紅收息。(賺市場差價第一)

12、買賣遭損失時,切忌賭徒式加碼,以謀求攤低成本。

13、不要因為不耐煩而進場,也不要因為不耐煩而了結。

14、肯輸不肯贏,切戒。賠多賺少的買賣不要做

15、進場時落下的停損點,不宜胡亂取消。

16、做多錯多,進場要等候機會,不宜買賣太密。

17、做多做空自如,不應只做單邊。

18、不要因為價位太低而吸納,也不要因為價位太高而賣空。

19、永不對衝。

20、盡量避免在不適當時搞金字塔加碼。

21、如無適當理由,避免胡亂更改所持股票的買賣策略

投機交易的「打譜」與「覆盤」( 天才操盤手 自由人 )

source: http://myblog.marbo.com.tw/boss1688/Post/48237

投機交易的「打譜」與「覆盤」( 天才操盤手 自由人 )

投機交易的「打譜」與「覆盤」

「打譜」與「覆盤」,是圍棋的術語。 「打譜」,是將名家棋手們以前的對局,從第一手開始在棋盤上擺起,依序擺到最後;覆盤則是將自己與對手所下的對局,一般是在對奕完畢,馬上與對手或資深棋手們的檢討,以指出對奕過程中,雙方的想法與可能下錯的地方。

「打譜」可以讓你知道名家棋手們在圍棋布局、中盤戰鬥與接近尾盤時的收官,他們的應對、使用的定式與手筋的技巧等。打譜久了,可以讓棋手具備了一種所謂的「棋感」,會讓棋手在比賽時,養成一種直覺,在某種盤勢下,找出洽當的著手點。

「覆盤」則是著重在檢討,檢討自己或對手可能下得有問題的地方。覆盤可以檢討自己的問題點,同時也可以藉由對手或他人,找出自己的盲點,從而修正其價值觀。 有個小故事,巔峰時代的吳清源大師,在與某日本一流九段的對奕贏了以後,在與其冗長覆盤的過程中,該九段不禁感慨地說:我已經二連敗給吳老師了。這說明了吳清源大師不僅在比賽中用高超的棋藝贏了對手,而豐富的涵養與理論,更是讓對手折服。

將圍棋作為職業的棋手們,「打譜」與「覆盤」,是每天必做的功課。 如此才有可能讓棋力精進;而在投機交易這個領域,Trader 必然也是需要「打譜」與「覆盤」的。

Trader 的「打譜」,以技術分析為例,必然要精通 K 線圖每一根 K 線的變化情形,也需要研究在某一段時間區段內,K線變化所構成的型態。 釐出與整理出對交易成功率高的形態,並且了然於胸、內化為潛意識,成為一種所謂的「盤感」,而能活用於當下的交易。

Trader 的「覆盤」,就是指交易結束後,每天必然要對當天所做過的交易檢討。 為什麼那個時間點進場、出場的時間點是否洽當,今天交易的問題出在哪裡‧‧‧等等。 「交易日誌」是必然要建立的,反思與檢討,是每天必要的功課,盡量做到「不貳過」,不在類似的盤勢下犯下同樣的錯誤。

要能在投機交易這個圈子生存、甚至過得很踏實、快樂,上述兩者是必然要具備的基本功課。

我不怕賠錢,但是最怕不知道為什麼賠錢! 「打譜」與「覆盤」,才會讓你思考並進而找出賠錢的原因;再來,也會慢慢地減少賠大錢的次數、增加賺大錢的機會了。

期貨期貨,不就是在作預期的事嗎?(期貨當沖百點交易法 )

http://myblog.marbo.com.tw/boss1688/Post/48238

期貨期貨,不就是在作預期的事嗎?(期貨當沖百點交易法 )

期貨期貨,不就是在作預期的事嗎?

有經驗的老師傅都說: 期貨投機,千萬不要作預測的事,要能順勢而為。

我對這一句話也深信不疑,而這幾年一直都在思考的事情是,什麼叫做「順勢而為」。

順著趨勢? 趨勢是什麼? 明顯的一個價格走向? 但即使是大多頭也會有短線的回檔、大空頭也會短期的反彈。 利用均線來定多空? 季(月)線以上為多頭、以下為空頭 … ,是這樣嗎? 趨勢這個字眼,我現在還是覺得,相當的模糊與抽象。

突然我又想到, "期貨",英文翻譯為 "Futures" or "Future Goods"。 那個 "期" 與 英文的 "Future",不都是 "預期" 與 "未來" 的意思嗎? 所以即使再怎麼短線的交易人,必然要作 "預期" 的事。 "預期" 下一分鐘、明日、下星期、下個月等,會上漲還是下跌,是多還是空。

符合你所預期的,你就賺到差價了;沒有符合你預期的,在那個容忍時間區段,你是賠了差價。

什麼是 "容忍時間區段"? 如果我是短線五分K操作者,我可能容忍我未來一個小時內因預期錯誤的虧損。或者,我可能容忍只能損失 50 點的虧損,而這 50 點的虧損可能是半小時的時間就已抵達你的容忍界限 ; 如果我是日線波段性的交易者,我可能容忍未來一個星期內預測錯誤的虧損。也可能只能容忍 150 點的虧損─短短兩天就抵達了停損界限。

不可能不作預期,也不可能不預設立場!

只是,當你做了預期卻沒有照預期的方向來走的時候,交易人該怎麼辦? 再等一下,撐久必勝? 還是逢低攤平? 或者是認賠出場,繼續下一個 "預期" 的工作?

上述這些方法應該都是預期錯誤後的處理策略。

我在想,以我現在淺薄的知識與體會而言,「順勢而為」這個字眼講得似乎太過偉大了。 或者應該換個想法,我應該大方承認,交易人必然是在做「預測」的工作;而當我「預期」錯誤後,我需要善後的處置措施是什麼? 到底用哪一種方法會比較能保護我有限的資金,受到最少的虧損。

如何學習交易謀生-盤勢判讀的技巧

source:http://myblog.marbo.com.tw/boss1688/Post/48134

如何學習交易謀生-盤勢判讀的技巧 ( 自由人freeman 李堯勳【台指當沖交易秘訣】)

如何學習交易謀生-盤勢判讀的技巧

如何學習交易謀生

來源:盤勢判讀的技巧

一、市場沒有我們想的容易
很多人認為,一進入這市場,就可以開始賺錢了,或者經過幾個月的學習,就能掌握致富的祕訣,但事後證明,這些天真的想法,使不少人的金錢,埋藏在市場中。

二、學習,否則就遭淘汰
開要學習前,應先知道應學習什麼
交易者認為,想要成功,就要學習技術指標,認為只要「正確指標」,就是通往金庫的鑰匙,這是不可能的,沒有交易系統能讓每個人獲利;成功是需要不斷的嘗試與練習,不論透過何種方法學習,市場都是主要的老師。

三、矯正自己,提升正確的信念
信念是每個人根據過去的經驗或記憶,產生的感覺與看法,而愈辛勤工作、投入愈多,理論上賺錢也越多,但這並適用於金融市場,金融操作沒有經過辛苦的工作,卻能賺到錢;相對來說,越積極操作,反而因此虧了錢。所以辛勤的工作,並非指的是操作上,而是在研究上,不論是基本面、技術面,只要徹底研究,能夠賺錢的,就是好的方法。

四、你自行決定命運,不是市場
市場是中性的,完全不理會你的部位,從事或沒有從事某項行為,是盈虧的主因,市場根本不認識你,不會在乎你的感受,而是你自己的情緒,影響了判斷。「市場決定我的部位是賺錢或虧錢,但做出決策的是我們自己」,體會這一點後,就能夠取得交易控制權,能夠控制自己的交易,還有什麼值得害怕的呢?

五、讓機率站在我們這邊,讓獲利持續發靳
交易是一場機率遊戲,沒有必要每次都贏,只要根據自己的法則進行交易,自己知道確實有效,每筆交易,不是獲利,就是停損,任何一筆交易都不是那麼重要。同樣的,也沒有必要首到獲利就急著出場,唯有交易系統發出賣訊,才需要出場。

六、過度交易沒必要
沒有任何外在因素造成干擾,促使自己進行交易。無聊與猜測不是進行交易的好理由,當天積效不佳,也不是進行交易的理由。無論喜不喜歡,市場不會在意我的績效,但也會提供可獲利的機會,只要持續等待,直到符合交易系統的架構。

七、市場經常枯燥無味,這是正常的
市場不是追求刺激的場所,可能坐在電腦前幾個小時,結果什麼事也沒做;交易不是按時計費的工作,只有做正確的事,才能獲得報酬;而所謂正確的事,往往就是什麼事也不做;如果要尋求刺激,最好另找其它場所

八、界定贏家思考模式
寫下優秀交易者的所有特徵,經常檢討,看看自己還有待加強。笨蛋才會認為比市場精明,寫下笨蛋所有特徵,經常檢討,看看自己是否有出現類似的特徵。不要讓自己成為笨蛋,要成為贏家。

Monday, October 31, 2011

投资组合 - 31/10/2011

CounterABPRatio31/10/2011
SunReit, 51760.8317.10%1.13
PBBank,1295F13.438.36%12.70
GAB, 325510.1017.73%10.78
BKAWAN, 189914.224.18%15.90
Maybank, 11558.238.38%8.36
Vitrox,00971.3815.15%0.990
CASH-29.10%-



1/1/11 ~ 31/10/11 回酬 = 1.95% (比较大市 -1.78%)

投资记录:

  • Share vs Cash: 70.90% vs 29.10%
  • Buy GAB 10.64, Trading purpose or Dividend purpose.

Friday, September 30, 2011

投资组合 - 30/09/2011

CounterABPRatio30/09/2011
SunReit, 51760.8319.22%1.11
PBBank,1295F13.439.29%12.34
GAB, 32559.8212.69%9.923
BKAWAN, 189914.224.50%14.96
Maybank, 11558.239.17%8.00
Vitrox,00971.3816.01%0.915
CASH-29.11%-



1/1/11 ~ 30/9/11 回酬  = -1.64% (比较大市 -8.66%)

投资记录:

  • Share vs Cash: 70.89% vs 29.11%
  • DIV SunReit Ex:26/08/2011; PD:21/09/2011
  • Buy GAB 10, Dividend purpose.
  • Buy BKAWAN 14.22, Dividend purpose & market sharp drop.
  • Buy GAB 9.45, Dividend purpose & market sharp drop.

Monday, September 5, 2011

How Values Help You

source: http://www.investalks.com/forum/redirect.php?goto=findpost&ptid=1849&pid=791965

How Values Help You

Values exist, whether you recognize them or not. Life can be much easier when you acknowledge your values – and when you make plans and decisions that honor them.

If you value family, but you have to work 70-hour weeks in your job, will you feel internal stress and conflict? And if you don't value competition, and you work in a highly competitive sales environment, are you likely to be satisfied with your job?

In these types of situations, understanding your values can really help. When you know your own values, you can use them to make decisions about how to live your life, and you can answer questions like these:
• What type of investment will work best for me?
• What job should I pursue?
• Should I accept this promotion?
• Should I start my own business?
• Should I compromise, or be firm with my position?
• Should I follow tradition, or travel down a new path?

So, take the time to understand the real priorities in your life, and you'll be able to determine the best direction for you and your life goals!

Tip:

Values are usually fairly stable, yet they don't have strict limits or boundaries. Also, as you move through life, your values may change. For example, when you start your career, success – measured by money and status – might be a top priority. But after you have a family, work-life balance may be what you value more.

As your definition of success changes, so do your values. This is why keeping in touch with your values is a lifelong exercise. You should continuously revisit this, especially if you start to feel unbalanced... and you can't quite figure out why.

As you go through the exercise below, bear in mind that values that were important in the past may not be relevant now.



Defining Your Values

When you define your values, you discover what's truly important to you. A good way of starting to do this is to look back on your life – to identify when you felt really good, and really confident that you were making good choices.


非常有用的NLP技巧之一

source: http://www.investalks.com/forum/redirect.php?goto=findpost&ptid=1849&pid=791148

NLP Perceptual Positions - also known as NLP Meta Mirror

What is Perceptual Positions or Meta Mirror in NLP?

This is a simple yet incredibly powerful technique for changing your perception or viewpoint about an experience in order to gather more information. It involves dissociating from the experience so you can get a different take on things.

In traditional NLP there are three positions, or steps, within the process. However, Robert Dilts added a 4th which some trainers do not use. At Certain Change we tend to include the 4th position as we find it beneficial but the choice, as ever, is yours.

Reasons for using Perceptual Positions

You can use perceptual positions to see the point of view of other people and to disassociate yourself from emotions that may 'cloud' your perception of a situation. For example, there may be someone at work you don't get on with particularly well. You can do the perceptual positions exercise using them in position 2.

The Steps in Perceptual Positions

There are 4 key steps, or positions, to work through:
Position 1. Through your own eyes
Position 2. Through the eyes of someone else
Position 3. Looking down on the whole scene (meta position)
Position 4. Meta to the meta position

The Process of Perceptual Positions

Position 1. Imagine standing in front of the person you don't get on with. Be yourself and tell them exactly how you feel, what you're thinking, what you think the problem is
When you have said absolutely everything you want to say move from where you were standing and break your state

Position 2. Now stand in the place you imagined the other person and take on their physiology, voice tonality and pretend to be them. This pretend version of that person has just heard everything you said to them so now is their chance to respond. Just say whatever comes. When you have said everything you want to say as that person move from where you were standing and break your state
Position

3. Now put yourself in a position where you can 'see' the interaction that went on between the two people and say what you are thinking and feeling as you look at the scene having heard what was said by both parties
When you have answered the questions about what you are thinking and feeling break state

Position 4. In this position you can gain a view on all three positions as though you were not involved at all. You can pretend to be a fly on the wall or an expert in the field of x. What would you recommend or advise you in position 1?

5. Go back to position 1 and see how you feel different now.

Sunday, September 4, 2011

The Ultimate Success Formula

source: http://www.investalks.com/forum/redirect.php?goto=findpost&ptid=1849&pid=789470


Beliefs

The first thing that affects us is our beliefs. Your beliefs are like the operating system to your brain. They determine almost everything in your life. When you believe that something is possible, guess what, you set a target to go achieve it. If you believe that it’s possible to earn a million dollars, you set a goal to earn a million dollars. If you don’t believe that you can possibly achieve anything beyond the average you won’t even dare set the goal.

So the beliefs drive the goals you have. What you believe determines what you want. Your beliefs also determine what you do in your counter failure. In other words, if you believe that you’re stupid for example, if you believe that things are just too difficult, will you change your strategy? No. When you get failure you just give up and blame everyone else because you may have believe that it was not your fault.

Values

The second thing that affects us, our life values. Your values are the emotional state that you move towards and away from. They are the things that really drive our behavior every single day. But know this, if your values are in conflict with your goals, or your values in conflict with your behaviour every single day, you will not consistently get what you want. So values are the second component that drives the ultimate success formula.

Success


The third component, is another form of beliefs and is the belief of who you are and what you stand for and this is your identity. In other words, do you believe you deserve success? Or do you believe that you are just an average person. What is your identity, who do you think you are? Do you believe you’re someone who’s exceptional? Do you believe you are a champion or winner? Or do you believe you’re someone who is a loser. So again your beliefs, your identity and your values drive what you want in your life, they drive you strategies, they drive your actions and they determine what you do when you fail. And this is called the ultimate success formula.

Feedback

There is no failure in life. There is only feedback.


The law of requisite variety

So what is the law of requisite variety?

The law of requisite variety says that as long as you continually are flexible enough to change your strategy, you eventually get what you want.


The Power of Commitment

Are You Committed To Succeed?

How many of you are committed to succeed?

When you’re committed to do something, it becomes a must. It’s not a should, it’s not a could, it’s not a like to, it’s a must. Because when something is a must for you, you opt it from a very different frame of mind. When something is a must, guess what, you will do whatever it takes to get it done, provided it
is ethical, it’s legal, and it’s moral.

Unfortunately, many people don’t work from this frame of mind. Most people only wished to succeed. So they only do things as long as it’s within their comfort zone. As long as they feel comfortable, as long as it is not too painful, and every time you pushed them beyond the comfort zone, guess what they will do, they will keep within their comfort zone, giving a lot of excuses, and they say, “You know I can’t do it because I don’t have the time, I don’t have the energy, I don’t have the money, I don’t have the resources, I am not young enough” for example.



Friday, September 2, 2011

如何选择优质的股息股

source: http://www.investalks.com/forum/viewthread.php?tid=1849&page=34#pid223121

基本上是以三个标准来选择优质的股息股:

1)可靠、可信赖而且有稳定基本面的公司
坚持只选择久经考验、真正有诚信的公司,其资产负债表上有大量(很多很多)的现金,相对较低的债务,良好的销售和有利可图的业务营运。

2)公司有经济周期不敏感的业务
公司会受经济周期影响包括银行股,汽车,产业公司,消费品类股。

3)公司一定要有强势品牌
我不会在乎经济无论是上升、下降或横着走。只要有强势品牌的公司总是能够做得很好。

股息支付率是对收入的百分比支付给股东的股息。股息支付率 = (全年每股股息 / 每股盈利) = (股息 / 净利)

股息支付率提供了一个很好的理念,一间公司有多好的盈利来长期支持支付股息。较成熟的公司往往有较高的股息支付率。

「股息」是不会说谎的。它显示了一间公司是否一间强大并且赚钱的公司。它显示出对股东的承诺和代表目前的”有形付款” (tangible payment)。

投资的总回报 (Investment Total Return) = 股息 (Dividends) + 股息增长 (Dividend Growth) + 资本收益 (Capital Gains)

每年增加股息的公司,它的股价是很有可能升值(可能性非常非常高)和带给你资本收益。除非业务表现良好,不然管理层是不太可能每年提高股息。

Read more: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/freecashflow.asp#ixzz1Wn8TBTdW

Must be a Free Cash Flow counter - It can also be calculated by taking operating cash flow and subtracting capital expenditures.




投资组合 - 31/08/2011

CounterABPRatio31/08/2011
SunReit, 51760.8318.74%1.08
PBBank,1295F13.439.85%13.40
PCHEM, 51835.230.00%6.53
MHB, 51865.870.00%6.64
Maybank, 11558.236.73%8.72
Vitrox,00971.3818.77%1.07
CASH-45.90%-



1/1/11 ~ 31/8/11 回酬  =  1.11% (比较大市 -4.72%)

投资记录:

  • Share vs Cash: 54.10% vs 45.90%
  • DIV PBBank Ex:05/08/2011; PD:17/08/2011
  • Sell PCHEM 6.53, election & global unstable. Plan to return in 18 months.
  • Sell MHB 6.60, election & global unstable. Plan to return in 18 months.

Friday, July 29, 2011

投资组合 - 29/07/2011

CounterABPRatio29/07/2011
SunReit, 51760.8318.32%1.14
PBBank,1295F13.439.38%13.40
PCHEM, 51835.239.57%6.85
MHB, 51865.876.26%7.65
Maybank, 11558.236.26%8.76
Vitrox,00971.3822.74%1.40
CASH-28.38%-



1/1/11 ~ 29/7/11 回酬  =  9.20% (比较大市 1.97%)

投资记录:

  • Share vs Cash: 71.62% vs 28.38%
  • DIV Vitrox Ex:28/06/2011; PD:28/07/2011
  • Buy PBBank @13.35
  • DIV PCHEM Ex:03/08/2011;PD:25/08/2011

Friday, July 1, 2011

投资组合 - 30/06/2011

CounterABPRatio30/06/2011
PPB集團(PPB, 4065)8.970.00%17.22
SunReit, 51760.8318.45%1.11
PCHEM, 51835.2310.25%7.09
MHB, 51865.876.02%8.33
Maybank, 11558.236.61%8.94
Vitrox,00972.0822.63%2.02
CASH-36.05%-



1/1/11 ~ 30/6/11 回酬  =  8.90% (比较大市 3.96%)

投资记录:

  • Share vs Cash: 63.95% vs 36.05%
  • Sell PPB @17.12, reason-personal funding restructure
  • DIV Vitrox Ex:28/06/2011; PD:28/07/2011
  • Buy Vitrox @ 2.074
  • Buy Vitrox @ 2.04

Tuesday, May 31, 2011

投资组合 - 31/05/2011

CounterABPRatio31/05/2011
PPB集團(PPB, 4065)8.973.91%17.40
SunReit, 51760.8318.27%1.10
Nestle,470744.310.00%47.78
PCHEM, 51835.2310.85%7.24
MHB, 51865.875.81%7.75
Maybank, 11558.236.83%8.91
CASH-54.33%-



1/1/11 ~ 31/5/11 回酬  =  8.43% (比较大市 2.59%)

投资记录:

  • Share vs Cash: 45.67% vs 54.33%
  • DIV PPB Ex:20/05/2011; PD:10/06/2011
  • Sell NESTLE @48.50, reason-personal funding restructure

Friday, April 29, 2011

投资组合 - 29/04/2011

CounterABPRatio29/04/2011
PPB集團(PPB, 4065)8.973.83%16.98
SunReit, 51760.8519.02%1.10
Nestle,470744.3110.82%47.98
PCHEM, 51835.2310.86%7.23
MHB, 51865.875.17%6.88
Maybank, 11558.606.58%8.75
CASH-43.73%-



1/01/11 ~ 29/04/11 回酬  = 8.09% (比较大市 1.06%)

投资记录:

  • Share vs Cash: 56.27% vs 43.73%
  • DIV Maybak Ex:12/04/2011; PD:12/05/2011

Friday, April 1, 2011

投资组合 - 31/03/2011

CounterABPRatio31/03/2011
PPB集團(PPB, 4065)8.973.86%17.02
SunReit, 51760.8518.59%1.07
Nestle,470744.3110.74%47.40
PCHEM, 51835.2311.13%7.37
MHB, 51865.875.19%6.87
Maybank, 11558.606.80%9.01
CASH-43.69%-



1/01/11 ~ 31/03/11 回酬  = 6.97% (比较大市 1.73%)

投资记录:

  • Share vs Cash: 56.31% vs 43.69%
  • Japan earthquake: nuclear disaster事件, 卖完投机的PCHEM

Monday, February 28, 2011

投资组合 - 28/02/2011

CounterABPRatio28/02/2011
PPB集團(PPB, 4065)8.973.93%16.50
SunReit, 51760.8518.63%1.02
Nestle,470744.3110.72%45.00
PCHEM, 51836.1930.02%6.30
MHB, 51865.875.01%6.31
Maybank, 11558.606.86%8.62
CASH-24.82%-



1/01/11 ~ 28/02/11 回酬  = 2.31% (比较大市 -1.82%)

投资记录:

  • Share vs Cash: 75.18% vs 28.82%
  • DIV SunREIT Ex:16/02/2011; PD:14/03/2011

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

投资组合 - 31/01/2011

CounterABPRatio31/01/2011
PPB集團(PPB, 4065)8.974.08%17.08
SunReit, 51760.86519.24%1.05
Nestle,470744.3110.69%44.70
PCHEM, 51835.544.87%6.11
MHB, 51865.874.65%5.83
CASH-56.47%-



1/1/11 ~ 31/01/11 回酬  = 2.03% (比较大市 0.07%)

投资记录:

  • Share vs Cash: 43.53% vs 56.47%
  • DIV SunREIT Ex:16/02/2011; PD:14/03/2011